1st Automotive /

Automotive Forecasts

 

Please go to   1Automotive.net or 1Automotive.net 

This will move to the Miru/ARC menu shortly.
Click on Miru/Arc if you want to go directly.


[Home Page | News | Regional Menu
/File Transfer
| Contact us | Special Client Service]

Please don't expect special effects or graphics. These take too much time.
We have built a site with the idea that Internet can be slow and that speed is our priority.

Who owns who !

Note on program and platform codes

Breaking News and Change Control

Click here to obtain a sample of our products free. They are from 1998.

Monthly production forecasts service. If any existing client wants to subscribe then please ring us on +33 4 93 65 70 70.

The User guide can now be downloaded from most of the password protected areas. You will find "download user guide" buttons/links in several places. Simply click on this and unzip the resulting file. This will be updated shortly - it is unfortunately a little behind the actual system.

An Index for zipped files is available on the file transfer/regional menu.


Western Europe

  • Clients can choose the WE Miru Cycle/Normal Service or the Trend Service  in the file transfer/ regional menu. If any client wishes to use the Trend service please let us know by fax as we may have to modify your privileges. The trend service uses rather conservative forecasts. The trend service now mirrors the Cycle service for files and complexity.
  • Powertrain - Updated June 2002. Available for Western Europe and coming shortly, South America, Eastern Europe, Asia-Pacific (10 countries) and selected countries in Africa and the Middle East. Please call us to subscribe.
  • Production forecasts by manufacturer - Updated April 2003.
  • Monthly Production by country - Updated April 2003.
  • Flash information (sales, registrations and production results by month) - On demand.
  • Demand forecasts - On demand.
  • Production forecasts by country - On demand.
  • Truck and Bus (including detailed split) - Updated January 2003.
  • Change control files (document) fully operational for Western Europe. Descriptions of changes are shown in the xxxx_ch.doc files.
  • All sub-directories have explanatory index files usually called Index_xx.doc.
  • There is a new Index of Zipped files which can be downloaded from the regional menu.
  • New services and files added. New detailed World demand and production tables. New global production and capacity files available. Updated regularly.
  • Capacity now available for all manufacturers, all plants and all countries.
     

World files

Please note that Australia (updated March 2003) is now under the Pacific Rim Regional folder.
We inform you that new studies are available on demand on Asia and Pacific Rim Sales, Monthly Production from 2000 to 2005 for all countries.
Historical data (1990-1999) are available upon request.
Platform and Code are currently updating for the world.
Next update for Asia Pacific is due for February 2004
A Worldwide Production Trucks and Buses is due for the summer

  • Asia - Updated December 2003
  • Japan - Updated December 2003
  • Eastern Europe - Updated April 2003
  • North America - Updated March 2003
  • Pacific Rim - Updated December 2003.
  • South Africa - Updated January 2003
  • South America - Updated January 2003
  • Worldwide Production Cars and Light Trucks - Updated April 2003

What or who is 1st Automotive / Miru ?


What is 1st Automotive / Miru ?

Miru has been in existence since 1970. It was based on research activities at the London School of Economics, the University of Bristol and was more formerly established at the University of East Anglia in Norwich before being privatized.

Miru has been one of the leading automotive forecasting agencies specializing in automotive demand and other forecasting for the motor vehicle manufacturers and suppliers. Miru has been concentrating on production forecasts geared to the needs of automotive suppliers and the industry in general. Miru is also one of the leading authorities in the World on distribution, block exemption, marketing, product policy, long term policy, productivity, profitability, plant location and construction and many other fields. It specializes in the automotive field.

Miru has an established set of standard products aimed at providing the best and most relevant forecasts for automotive suppliers at prices designed to represent the best value in the industry. 1st Automotive and  Miru provide a range of research, analysis and consultancy facilities to undertake specific studies and projects unparalleled in the industry.

Miru’s forecasts cover more and are more detailed than those offered by all its competitors in those areas where the industry is most interested. These studies are available in a variety of media including printed reports, discs, CD-ROM and, of course, here surfing the Internet. Ad-hoc studies are available to meet every other possible need of automotive suppliers.

The forecasts found here are the most relevant and comprehensive marketing document for automotive suppliers and the most informative set of forecasts for the industry in general. Vehicle manufacturers will find much more competitive intelligence that is the result of the mini-business plans being written and analyzed for each manufacturer - sometimes on a world-wide basis. This is further described below.

Advantages of the 1st Automotive / Miru forecasts
These forecasts are more detailed than the competitors and contain more information. The history is correct and the forecasts are more accurate, better, more realistic and show the complete plans of each manufacturer. They are the result of undertaking a complete business plan for each manufacturer as well as evaluating the competitive situation in the market. Not all the manufacturers will be able to fulfill their own plans. Cars and light trucks are always included. The degree of detail is greater. The number of models and their explicit changeover points are shown. Production by model and then by plant are provided as well as production by plant and then by model for Western Europe (which has a greater degree of complexity than anywhere else).

Other advantages of the 1st Automotive / Miru service are outlined below:

  • Long history, forecasts to 15 years and beyond
  • Forecast basis: either business cycle for all years or cycle to 2003, bridge for 2004, and trend thereafter
  • Forecasts organized by country or by manufacturer (e.g. GM Western Europe or even GM World-wide)
  • Product plans with model cycles and new products
  • Market size, segment size and exports are explicitly considered for each region and each manufacturer
  • Detailed production volumes are given by segment, by manufacturer, by model, sometimes by bodystyle and version, and by plant
  • Model cross-over points explicitly shown
  • Other standard reports available dealing with power-train, trim levels, capacity, optional equipment, take-up of certain components and so on
  • Monthly forecasts with actual versus forecast also available
  • Profitability, productivity, bench-marking and financial studies available
  • More manufacturers are covered than any other forecasting agency

File Transfer Information

File Transfer allows the user to download the Excel files (Lotus files can be specially created by arrangement).
It is in general better for a serious user to be able to download the Excel files.
This service is more expensive.

 To know more about File Transfer Service


[Home Page | News | Regional Menu
/File Transfer
| Contact us | Special Client Service]

   Any questions concerning the Miru Web site should be addressed to sales@miru.com

Phone on +33 (6) 85 75 05 89


Hosted by